Sport record

MMA value bets vs Pinnacle

Every MMA bet Sharp Bets has found since it started tracking, measured the same way as the site-wide Track Record: logged the moment it's found, and checked against Pinnacle's closing line just before the start.

Bets found
60
Closing lines captured
56
Average CLV
+6.75%
Beat the close
85.7%

Figures as of 3 November 2026. They update as new results come in.

What Sharp Bets checks

In MMA Sharp Bets compares match winner, over/under and handicap lines wherever the Swedish bookmakers and Pinnacle both price them.

Good to know about MMA

An MMA card runs for hours, but the listed start time is the start of the whole card, not of each fight. Pinnacle often takes a fight off the board before the closing check, so the closing line here can be the last Pinnacle price the system saw, as long as it was seen within four hours of the start (see the Methodology page). Round totals are a common market: over 1.5 rounds wins if the fight goes past the halfway point of round two.

Results so far

Graded bets
57
Won / lost / push
25 / 29 / 3
Win rate
46.3%
ROI (suggested stakes)
+53.11%

Only 57 bets have been graded so far. Over a sample this small, profit and win rate are mostly luck, which is why this page leads with closing-line value.

By market

BetsCheckedAvg CLV
Match Winner 31 29 +6.91%
Over/Under 29 27 +6.57%

By bookmaker

Counted per bookmaker price, so a bet offered at three bookmakers appears under each of them.

PricesCheckedAvg CLV
Coolbet 42 40 +5.66%
NordicBet 26 22 +8.81%
ATG 19 17 +3.82%
Betsson 14 13 +5.24%

Recent decided bets

Only bets whose match has already started are shown: settled history, not a live edge anyone could still act on.

FoundMatchBetBookmakerOddsCLV
2026-11-01
Luana Santos vs Yana Santos
Over/Under
Under 2.5 ATG 3.95 +7.69%
2026-11-01
Dakota Hope vs Francis Marshall
Over/Under
Over 2.5 Coolbet 1.65 +2.05%
2026-10-31
Tainara Lisboa vs Lucia Szabová
Over/Under
Under 2.5 Coolbet 1.74 +8.88%
2026-10-30
Jacobe Smith vs Randy Brown
Over/Under
Over 1.5 Coolbet 2.18 +5.76%
2026-10-30
Farman Hasanov vs Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani
Match Winner
Farman Hasanov Coolbet 3.45 +0.09%
2026-10-29
Nick Klein vs Joseph Kropschot
Over/Under
Over 1.5 ATG 2.00 -6.47%
2026-10-29
Julian Erosa vs Jeongyoung Lee
Match Winner
Julian Erosa NordicBet, Betsson 2.55 +11.23%
2026-10-29
Talita Alencar vs Piera Rodriguez
Match Winner
Talita Alencar Coolbet 3.47 -8.49%
2026-10-29
Randy Brown vs Jacobe Smith
Over/Under
Under 1.5 ATG 1.82 -6.30%
2026-10-29
Zachary Reese vs Mickey Gall
Over/Under
Over 1.5 Coolbet 2.62 +4.22%

See today's live picks

This page is history. The Live Board is what's actionable right now.