Stryktipset v. 2026-45

Stryktipset: the streck against the fair odds

The streck shows how Swedish players have filled in the coupon. The fair odds show how the market rates the match. When a sign has clearly fewer streck than its fair chance, it is underbacked: if it comes in, fewer coupons share the win.

Closes Sat 7 Nov · 15:59 CET

Most underbacked signs right now
  1. Arsenal – HullSign 1 · 74% streck · 84% fair chance+10
  2. West Bromwich – MillwallSign 2 · 20% streck · 26% fair chance+6
  3. Crewe – WimbledonSign 2 · 28% streck · 34% fair chance+6

The big number is the share of streck. Below it: the fair chance and the difference in percentage points.

Match1X2
1 Nottingham – Manchester City
Premier League · Sat 7 Nov · 18:30 CET
 27%
fair 21%
−6 · Overbacked
 20%
fair 23%
+3
 53%
fair 56%
+3
2 Arsenal – Hull
Premier League · Sat 7 Nov · 16:00 CET
 74%
fair 84%
+10 · Underbacked
 14%
fair 11%
−3
 12%
fair 5%
−7 · Overbacked
3 Fulham – Newcastle
Premier League · Sat 7 Nov · 16:00 CET
 45%
fair 47%
+2
 26%
fair 26%
−0
 29%
fair 28%
−1
4 Blackburn – West Ham
Championship · Sat 7 Nov · 16:00 CET
No Pinnacle price yet
 34% 26% 40%
5 Birmingham – Swansea
Championship · Sat 7 Nov · 16:00 CET
 48%
fair 53%
+5
 27%
fair 25%
−2
 25%
fair 22%
−3
6 Cardiff – Burnley
Championship · Sat 7 Nov · 16:00 CET
No Pinnacle price yet
 49% 26% 25%
7 Charlton – Sheffield U
Championship · Sat 7 Nov · 16:00 CET
 31%
fair 27%
−4
 29%
fair 27%
−2
 40%
fair 45%
+5 · Underbacked
8 Preston – Southampton
Championship · Sat 7 Nov · 16:00 CET
 25%
fair 20%
−5 · Overbacked
 21%
fair 22%
+1
 54%
fair 58%
+4
9 Queens Park Rangers – Lincoln
Championship · Sat 7 Nov · 16:00 CET
 61%
fair 58%
−3
 22%
fair 22%
+0
 17%
fair 20%
+3
10 Watford – Middlesbrough
Championship · Sat 7 Nov · 16:00 CET
No Pinnacle price yet
 27% 23% 50%
11 West Bromwich – Millwall
Championship · Sat 7 Nov · 16:00 CET
 54%
fair 47%
−7 · Overbacked
 26%
fair 26%
+0
 20%
fair 26%
+6 · Underbacked
12 Crewe – Wimbledon
FA Cup · Sat 7 Nov · 16:00 CET
 45%
fair 37%
−8 · Overbacked
 27%
fair 29%
+2
 28%
fair 34%
+6 · Underbacked
13 Oxford – Stevenage
FA Cup · Sat 7 Nov · 16:00 CET
 50%
fair 48%
−2
 28%
fair 27%
−1
 22%
fair 24%
+2

Streck: Svenska Spel, last updated Wed 4 Nov · 21:04 CET. Fair chance: Pinnacle's odds with the margin removed (Shin's method), updated around the clock.

How to read the table

Streck is the share of all coupons at Svenska Spel that picked the sign. Fair chance is the probability from Pinnacle's odds, after the bookmaker's margin is removed.

The difference is the fair chance minus the streck, in percentage points. Plus means the players rate the sign lower than the market does.

An underbacked sign is not a safe sign. It only means fewer people share the win if it comes in. Favourites still lose often, and long shots rarely come in.

The streck keeps changing until the coupon closes, most in the last hours. Always check at Svenska Spel before you submit.

What is a +EV bet?

Common questions

What does underbacked mean?

That fewer players picked the sign than its fair chance says they should. If it comes in, the pool is shared by fewer coupons, so each winning coupon is worth more.

Where do the fair odds come from?

From Pinnacle, the bookmaker with the lowest margin and the highest limits, which professionals follow. The margin is removed with Shin's method, the same method Sharp Bets uses for every pick.

Can I win more by following the table?

No table can promise that. Stryktipset is a pool game where part of the stakes stays with Svenska Spel, so most players lose over time. The table shows where the pool is shared by fewer, not which signs come in.

Does Sharp Bets earn money when I play?

No. There are no affiliate links, so Sharp Bets earns nothing from whether you play.

See it live

Today's picks, the price check and your own tracker are in the app.

Open the live board