Europatipset v. 2026-45

Europatipset: the streck against the fair odds

The streck shows how Swedish players have filled in the coupon. The fair odds show how the market rates the match. When a sign has clearly fewer streck than its fair chance, it is underbacked: if it comes in, fewer coupons share the win.

Closes Sun 8 Nov · 14:59 CET

Most underbacked signs right now
  1. Brighton – BrentfordSign 2 · 10% streck · 26% fair chance+16
  2. Sunderland – ChelseaSign 1 · 12% streck · 27% fair chance+15
  3. Ipswich – BournemouthSign 1 · 15% streck · 25% fair chance+10

The big number is the share of streck. Below it: the fair chance and the difference in percentage points.

Match1X2
1 Manchester United – Aston Villa
Premier League · Sun 8 Nov · 17:30 CET
No Pinnacle price yet
42% 27% 31%
2 Crystal Palace – Liverpool
Premier League · Sun 8 Nov · 15:00 CET
10%
fair 17%
+7 · Underbacked
14%
fair 21%
+7 · Underbacked
76%
fair 62%
−14 · Overbacked
3 Sunderland – Chelsea
Premier League · Sun 8 Nov · 15:00 CET
12%
fair 27%
+15 · Underbacked
16%
fair 26%
+10 · Underbacked
72%
fair 48%
−24 · Overbacked
4 Brighton – Brentford
Premier League · Sun 8 Nov · 15:00 CET
72%
fair 50%
−22 · Overbacked
18%
fair 24%
+6 · Underbacked
10%
fair 26%
+16 · Underbacked
5 Ipswich – Bournemouth
Premier League · Sun 8 Nov · 15:00 CET
15%
fair 25%
+10 · Underbacked
24%
fair 26%
+2
61%
fair 49%
−12 · Overbacked
6 Inter – Como
Serie A · Sun 8 Nov · 18:00 CET
No Pinnacle price yet
53% 25% 22%
7 Genoa – Milan
Serie A · Sun 8 Nov · 15:00 CET
10%
fair 20%
+10 · Underbacked
21%
fair 27%
+6 · Underbacked
69%
fair 53%
−16 · Overbacked
8 Fiorentina – Juventus
Serie A · Sun 8 Nov · 20:45 CET
No Pinnacle price yet
15% 25% 60%
9 Atlético Madrid – Barcelona
La Liga · Sun 8 Nov · 21:00 CET
No Pinnacle price yet
19% 23% 58%
10 Celta de Vigo – Levante
La Liga · Sun 8 Nov · 18:30 CET
No Pinnacle price yet
77% 17% 6%
11 AIK – Häcken
Allsvenskan · Sun 8 Nov · 16:30 CET
No Pinnacle price yet
25% 29% 46%
12 Brommapojkarna – Mjällby
Allsvenskan · Sun 8 Nov · 16:30 CET
No Pinnacle price yet
47% 25% 28%
13 Kalmar – Sirius
Allsvenskan · Sun 8 Nov · 16:30 CET
No Pinnacle price yet
15% 22% 63%

Streck: Svenska Spel, last updated Thu 5 Nov · 14:58 CET. Fair chance: Pinnacle's odds with the margin removed (Shin's method), updated around the clock.

Last round: Europatipset v. 2026-45

Winning row 2 2 1 1 2 2 1 2 X 1 1 1 X

This round closed before Sharp Bets started saving the fair odds, so only the streck on the winning signs is shown.

MatchResultStreck on the winning sign
1 Slavia Prag – Arsenal
2 1-2 86%
2 RB Leipzig – Manchester City
2 2-3 65%
3 Dortmund – Real Betis
1 2-1 63%
4 Porto – Napoli
1 4-1 54%
5 PSV Eindhoven – Club Brügge
2 1-2 26%
6 Lens – Como
2 1-9 55%
7 Viking – Sabah Masazir
1 4-1 69%
8 Bristol City – Wolverhampton
2 1-2 51%
9 Cardiff – West Ham
X 3-3 22%
10 Wrexham – Middlesbrough
1 2-0 17% · Few streck
11 Oxford – Reading
1 2-0 37%
12 Botafogo RJ – Atletico Mineiro
1 1-0 63%
13 Sao Paulo – Corinthians
X 0-0 31%
Prizes
13 rätt: 106 winners, 48,743 SEK
12 rätt: 3,192 winners, 379 SEK
11 rätt: 34,200 winners, 19 SEK
10 rätt: 191,091 winners, 0 SEK

A sign with few streck that comes in raises the prizes, because fewer rows share the pool.

How to read the table

Streck is the share of all coupons at Svenska Spel that picked the sign. Fair chance is the probability from Pinnacle's odds, after the bookmaker's margin is removed.

The difference is the fair chance minus the streck, in percentage points. Plus means the players rate the sign lower than the market does.

An underbacked sign is not a safe sign. It only means fewer people share the win if it comes in. Favourites still lose often, and long shots rarely come in.

The streck keeps changing until the coupon closes, most in the last hours. Always check at Svenska Spel before you submit.

What is a +EV bet?

Common questions

What does underbacked mean?

That fewer players picked the sign than its fair chance says they should. If it comes in, the pool is shared by fewer coupons, so each winning coupon is worth more.

Where do the fair odds come from?

From Pinnacle, the bookmaker with the lowest margin and the highest limits, which professionals follow. The margin is removed with Shin's method, the same method Sharp Bets uses for every pick.

Can I win more by following the table?

No table can promise that. Europatipset is a pool game where part of the stakes stays with Svenska Spel, so most players lose over time. The table shows where the pool is shared by fewer, not which signs come in.

Does Sharp Bets earn money when I play?

No. There are no affiliate links, so Sharp Bets earns nothing from whether you play.

See it live

Today's picks, the price check and your own tracker are in the app.