Stryktipset v. 2026-45

Stryktipset 7 November 2026: the streck against the fair odds

How the coupon looked when it closed: the streck on every sign next to the fair chance from Pinnacle's odds, and what came in.

This week's Stryktipset

Winning row 1 1 X 1 1 1 1 1 1 X 1 1 2

When the coupon closed, 7 signs were underbacked. 3 of them came in. Their fair chances expected about 2.1.

Prizes

13 rätt: 9 winners, 1,444,444 SEK

12 rätt: 438 winners, 7,346 SEK

11 rätt: 6,341 winners, 405 SEK

10 rätt: 54,475 winners, 98 SEK

A sign with few streck that comes in raises the prizes, because fewer rows share the pool.

The big number is the share of streck when the coupon closed. Below it: the fair chance and the difference in percentage points. The winning sign is marked.

Match	1	X	2
1 Nottingham – Manchester City Premier League · Result 1 (3-1)	13% fair 19% +6 · Underbacked Winning sign · Few streck	24% fair 23% −1	63% fair 57% −6 · Overbacked
2 Arsenal – Hull Premier League · Result 1 (1-0)	89% fair 86% −3 Winning sign	8% fair 11% +3	3% fair 4% +1
3 Fulham – Newcastle Premier League · Result X (1-1)	46% fair 48% +2	28% fair 25% −3 Winning sign	26% fair 27% +1
4 Blackburn – West Ham Championship · Result 1 (2-1)	18% fair 19% +1 Winning sign · Few streck	23% fair 23% −0	59% fair 58% −1
5 Birmingham – Swansea Championship · Result 1 (2-1)	58% fair 52% −6 · Overbacked Winning sign	26% fair 26% +0	16% fair 22% +6 · Underbacked
6 Cardiff – Burnley Championship · Result 1 (5-4)	49% fair 49% −0 Winning sign	26% fair 24% −2	25% fair 28% +3
7 Charlton – Sheffield U Championship · Result 1 (2-1)	18% fair 24% +6 · Underbacked Winning sign · Few streck	26% fair 26% +0	56% fair 49% −7 · Overbacked
8 Preston – Southampton Championship · Result 1 (1-0)	13% fair 17% +4 Winning sign · Few streck	19% fair 21% +2	68% fair 62% −6 · Overbacked
9 Queens Park Rangers – Lincoln Championship · Result 1 (2-1)	69% fair 59% −10 · Overbacked Winning sign	20% fair 23% +3	11% fair 18% +7 · Underbacked
10 Watford – Middlesbrough Championship · Result X (0-0)	16% fair 15% −1	23% fair 19% −4 Winning sign	61% fair 66% +5 · Underbacked
11 West Bromwich – Millwall Championship · Result 1 (3-0)	55% fair 49% −6 · Overbacked Winning sign	28% fair 27% −1	17% fair 25% +8 · Underbacked
12 Crewe – Wimbledon FA Cup · Result 1 (2-1)	41% fair 42% +1 Winning sign	31% fair 29% −2	28% fair 29% +1
13 Oxford – Stevenage FA Cup · Result 2 (0-1)	57% fair 34% −23 · Overbacked	26% fair 30% +4	17% fair 36% +19 · Underbacked Winning sign · Few streck

Streck: Svenska Spel when the coupon closed. Fair chance: Pinnacle's last odds before kick-off, with the margin removed (Shin's method). Results and prizes: Svenska Spel.

How to read the table

Streck is the share of all coupons at Svenska Spel that picked the sign. Fair chance is the probability from Pinnacle's odds, after the bookmaker's margin is removed.

The difference is the fair chance minus the streck, in percentage points. Plus means the players rate the sign lower than the market does.

An underbacked sign is not a safe sign. It only means fewer people share the win if it comes in. Favourites still lose often, and long shots rarely come in.

The streck keeps changing until the coupon closes, most in the last hours. Always check at Svenska Spel before you submit.

This week's Stryktipset · What is a +EV bet?

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