Match Winner (also called 1X2 or moneyline) is a bet on who wins the match outright, including the possibility of a draw in sports like soccer. Home, Draw and Away are the three possible outcomes; sports without draws (basketball, tennis) only offer two. In a soccer match priced at 2.10 / 3.40 / 3.20 for Home / Draw / Away, backing Home wins if the home team wins in normal time: a draw or an away win both lose that bet.
Betting glossary
Match Winner (1X2) betting explained
Why this matters for value betting
This is the most heavily bet market in football, which cuts both ways for value bettors. Pinnacle prices it on virtually every match, so it's the most reliable benchmark for a fair line, but that same liquidity means soft books also try hardest to get it right, so edges here tend to be smaller and shorter-lived than in niche markets.
Sharp Bets' record on Match Winner (1X2) bets
Every Match Winner (1X2) bet Sharp Bets has found, checked against Pinnacle's closing line minutes before kickoff. Each bet counts once, however many bookmakers offered it.
Bets found
3539
Closing lines captured
3433
Average CLV
+2.59%
Beat the close
65.3%
Figures as of 2 November 2026. They update as new results come in.
By sport
| Bets | Checked | Avg CLV | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Soccer | 2574 | 2526 | +2.51% |
| Ice hockey | 294 | 294 | +0.94% |
| Basketball | 256 | 228 | +1.47% |
| Tennis | 125 | 122 | +4.28% |
| American football | 123 | 122 | +4.48% |
| Baseball | 63 | 62 | +3.46% |
| Boxing | 39 | 17 | +4.66% |
| MMA | 31 | 29 | +6.91% |
| Rugby | 18 | 17 | +1.85% |
| Cricket | 16 | 16 | +22.00% |
See today's live picks
The Live Board shows every current +EV price Sharp Bets has found, in all of these markets.